Publications & Research Projects

Representation Elections Public Opinion and Ideology Environment and Energy Comparative Politics

Political Representation

Local Politics

  • "Local Representation in the United States: A New Comprehensive Dataset of Elections" (with Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Dan Thompson, and Yamil Valez)
    (Funded in part by the MIT Election Lab and the Hewlett Foundation)
    Abstract
  • "How Partisanship in Cities Influences Housing Policy" (with Justin de Benedictis-Kessner and Daniel Jones)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Local Elections and Representation in the United States." Annual Review of Political Science. 2019. 22(1): 461-479.
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Representation in Municipal Government." American Political Science Review. August, 2014. 108(3). (with Chris Tausanovitch)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | Media coverage in The Economist, USA Today, C-Span's Washington Journal, ...
  • "Mayoral Partisanship and Municipal Fiscal Policy" Journal of Politics. October, 2016. 78(4): 1124-1138 (with Justin de Benedictis-Kessner).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "Politics in Forgotten Governments: The Partisan Composition of County Legislatures and County Fiscal Policies." Journal of Politics. 2020. 82(2): 460-475. (with Justin de Benedictis-Kessner)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • State Politics

  • "Dynamic Democracy: Public Opinion, Elections, and Policy Making in the American States" (with Devin Caughey)
    Forthcoming at University of Chicago Press.
    Preview it: Table of Contents | Introduction | Conclusion
    Buy it: Official Page | Amazon | Barnes & Noble
  • "Policy Preferences and Policy Change: Dynamic Responsiveness in the American States, 1936-2014." American Political Science Review. May, 2018. 112(2): 249-266. (with Devin Caughey)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | Policy and Opinion Estimates
    Winner of the award for best paper on State Politics & Policy at the 2014 American Political Science Conference.
  • "Partisan Gerrymandering and the Political Process: Effects on Roll-Call Voting and State Policies." Election Law Journal. December, 2017. 16(4): 453-469. (with Devin Caughey and Chris Tausanovitch)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Incremental Democracy: the Policy Effects of Partisan Control of State Government." Journal of Politics. October, 2017. 79:4 (1342-1358) (with Devin Caughey and Yiqing Xu)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "The Dynamics of State Policy Liberalism, 1936-2014." American Journal of Political Science. October, 2016. 60(4): 899-913 (with Devin Caughey).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | Media coverage in The Boston Globe
    Winner of the APSA award for the best journal article on state politics in 2016.
  • Electoral Accountability for Ideological Extremism in American Elections" (with Devin Caughey)
    Abstract
  • Representation in Legislatures

  • "Geography, Uncertainty, and Polarization." Forthcoming. Political Science Research and Methods. (with Nolan McCarty, Jonathan Rodden, Boris Shor, and Chris Tausanovitch)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "On the Representativeness of Primary Electorates." British Journal of Political Science. 50(2): 677-685. (with John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch, and Lynn Vavreck)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "The Impact of Partisan Gerrymandering on Political Parties." Legislative Studies Quarterly. 2020. (with Nicholas Stephanopoulos)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • Partisan Gerrymandering

  • "Districts for a New Decade--Partisan Outcomes and Racial Representation in the 2021 Redistricting Cycle." Publius: The Journal of Federalism (with Eric McGhee and Michal Migurski)
    Abstract | Paper | Data
  • "Partisan Gerrymandering and the Political Process: Effects on Roll-Call Voting and State Policies." Election Law Journal. December, 2017. 16(4): 453-469. (with Devin Caughey and Chris Tausanovitch)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "The Impact of Partisan Gerrymandering on Political Parties." Legislative Studies Quarterly. 2020. (with Nicholas Stephanopoulos)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • Elections

  • "The Effect of Fox News Channel on U.S. Elections: 2000-2020" (with Elliott Ash, Sergio Galletta, and Matteo Pinna)
    (Invited to revise and resubmit at the American Political Science Review)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "The Effect of Television Advertising in United States Elections." American Political Science Review (with John Sides and Lynn Vavreck).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "Fatalities from COVID-19 are reducing Americans' support for Republicans at every level of federal office." (with Lynn Vavreck and Ryan Baxter-King)
    Abstract | Summary in NYT Upshot | Replication Data
  • "Does the Ideological Proximity Between Candidates and Voters Affect Voting in U.S. House Elections?" Political Behavior. March, 2018. 40(1): 223-245. (with Chris Tausanovitch)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "Accountability for the Local Economy at All Levels of Government in United States Elections." American Political Science Review. 114(3): 660-676. (with Justin de Benedictis-Kessner)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • Electoral Accountability for Ideological Extremism in American Elections" (with Devin Caughey)
    Abstract
  • Public Opinion and Ideology

  • "Moderates." Conditionally accepted, American Political Science Review. (with Anthony Fowler, Seth Hill, Jeff Lewis, Chris Tausanovitch, Lynn Vavreck)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Policy Ideology in European Mass Publics, 1981--2016." American Political Science Review. August, 2019. 113(3): 674-693. (with Devin Caughey and Tom O'Grady)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | Data on European Ideology
  • "Public Opinion in Subnational Politics." Journal of Politics. 2019. (with Devin Caughey)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "The Ideological Nationalization of Partisan Subconstituencies in the American States." Public Choice. July, 2018. 187(1-2):133-151. (with Devin Caughey and James Dunham)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "On the Representativeness of Primary Electorates." British Journal of Political Science. April, 2020. (with John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch, and Lynn Vavreck)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "Latent Constructs in Public Opinion."Oxford Handbook on Polling and Polling Methods. R. Michael Alvarez and Lonna Atkeson, ed. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
    Link to Book | Chapter
  • "Estimating Candidates' Political Orientation in a Polarized Congress." Political Analysis. Spring, 2017. 25(2). (with Chris Tausanovitch).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "The Application of Big Data in Surveys to the Study of Elections, Public Opinion, and Representation." 2016. Computational Social Science: Discovery and Prediction. R. Michael Alvarez, ed. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Link to Book | Chapter
  • "Dynamic Estimation of Latent Public Opinion Using a Hierarchical Group-Level IRT Model." Political Analysis. Spring, 2015. 23(2). (with Devin Caughey).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | dgo R Package | Example vignettes
  • "Measuring Constituent Policy Preferences in Congress, State Legislatures and Cities". Journal of Politics. April 2013. 75(2). (with Chris Tausanovitch).
    Abstract | Paper | Online Appendix A | Online Appendix B | Policy Preference Estimates
  • "How Should We Measure District-Level Public Opinion on Individual Issues?" Journal of Politics. January 2012. 74(1). (with Jonathan Rodden).
    Abstract | Paper | Online Appendix | Replication Data
  • "Using Screeners to Measure Respondent Attention on Self-Administered Surveys: Which Items and How Many?" Political Science Research and Methods. (with Adam Berinsky, Michele Margolis, and Mike Sances)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • Energy and Environmental Politics

  • "A preference for constant costs." Nature Climate Change. News & Views. Review of "Constant carbon pricing increases support for climate action compared to ramping up costs over time." September, 2020.
  • "Elections and Parties in Environmental Politics." Handbook on U.S. Environmental Policy, ed. David Konisky. (with Parrish Bergquist)
    Abstract | Paper | Link to Book
  • "Does Global Warming Increase Public Concern About Climate Change?" Journal of Politics. April, 2019. 81(2): 686-691. (with Parrish Bergquist)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "Spatial Variation in Messaging Effects." Nature Climate Change. News & Views. Review of "Experimental effects of climate messages vary geographically." April, 2018.
  • "Renewable energy policy design and framing influence public support in the United States." Nature Energy July, 2017. (with Leah Stokes)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "The Political Economy of Expropriation and Privatization of National Oil Companies." 2012. Oil and Governance: State-Owned Enterprises and the World Energy Supply. David G. Victor, David Hults, and Mark thurber, eds. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Abstract
  • "Business as Usual? Analyzing the Doctrinal Development of Environmental Standing Doctrine since 1976." Summer 2011. Harvard Law and Policy Review. Volume 5.2 (with Gregory Wannier).
    Abstract | Paper
  • Comparative Politics

  • "Policy Ideology in European Mass Publics, 1981--2016." American Political Science Review. August, 2019. 113(3): 674-693. (with Devin Caughey and Tom O'Grady)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | Data on European Ideology
  • "Democratization and Countermajoritarian Institutions: the Role of Power and Constitutional Design In Self-Enforcing Democracy." 2012. Comparative Constitutional Law and Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. (with Susan Alberts and Barry R. Weingast).
    Abstract | Link
  • "The Political Economy of Expropriation and Privatization of National Oil Companies." 2012. Oil and Governance: State-Owned Enterprises and the World Energy Supply. David G. Victor, David Hults, and Mark thurber, eds. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Abstract | Link